The Euro (EUR) depreciates moderately against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as escalating tensions between the US and Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz dampened appetite for risk and boosted inflationary pressures at the week's opening.The EUR/USD pair is trading at the 1.1400 area at th

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD has slipped after testing 1.1460, with increasing downward momentum but major support at 1.1360 seen as difficult to reach near term. For the coming 1–3 weeks, they expect EUR/USD to remain in a 1.1360–1.1450 range.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that recent Canadian labour data and a new US-Canada bridge agreement are not the main drivers of USD/CAD above 1.41.

Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 13:

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent Oil prices have risen sharply as tensions escalate in the Persian Gulf and transit through the Strait of Hormuz slows. They highlight that speculators have trimmed net long positions in ICE Brent despite higher prices.

The NZD/USD pair trades on a flat note near 0.5760 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following the US's launch of fresh missile attacks against Iran on Sunday boost the US Dollar (USD) as a safe-haven asset. 

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades firmly against its major currency peers, but is flat at around 1.4160 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.

GBP/USD remains in negative territory after paring daily losses, trading around 1.3390 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair faces challenges as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground on rising safe-haven demand amid intensifying tensions in the Middle East.

The Euro (EUR) is trading practically flat against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday after dropping about 2% over the past three weeks. Euro bulls remain subdued amid the risk-averse mood, but sellers are struggling to find acceptance below 0.8500.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect the US Dollar (USD) to appreciate by around 2–3% by end-2026, supported versus low-yielding currencies such as the Euro (EUR) and Swiss Franc (CHF).

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that GBP/USD gapped lower after briefly breaking above 1.3445, with momentum turning down and risks of a test below 1.3360, though 1.3320 is seen as distant for now.

XAG/USD struggles for the second consecutive day, trading around $58.20 per troy ounce during the European hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the spot price is remaining within the descending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bearish bias.

ING’s Chris Turner highlights that USD/JPY is grinding higher above 162 as higher energy prices pressure Asian currencies. He notes that Japanese authorities may follow a similar intervention pattern to last year, with potential action ahead of the Marine Day holiday.

Speculative traders seem reluctant to jump on the Crude Oil rally despite the escalating tensions in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The USD/JPY pair sticks to its modest intraday gains through the early European session on Monday and currently trades above the 162.00 mark, up 0.30% for the day.

Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that the S&P 500 closed at 7575, gaining 0.42%, after a strong week supported by stabilising chip stocks and a rebound in the Philly semiconductor index.

The Euro (EUR) is higher by 0.36% to near 185.25 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Monday. The Japanese Yen underperforms across the board despite hopes that Japan’s inflation would remain above the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target for a longer period.

Dow Jones futures lose 0.12% to trade around 52,840 during European trading hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures fall 0.45% and 1.30%, trading near 7,580 and 29,640, respectively.

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose contrasts upbeat remarks from CBT governor Fatih Karahan with more cautious comments from deputy governor Gazi Ishak Kara on Turkey’s inflation dynamics.

The US Dollar posts moderate gains against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Monday, yet with price action contained within the last two weeks’ trading range, and with the 0.8100 level capping bulls for now.